Quote:
Originally Posted by DugLess
Yes, it has absolutely nothing to do with oil being over $100 dollars a barrel, the housing bubble bursting or the sinkhole that we're spending billions of dollars a month on, that is Iraq.
Ironically, I believe these factors may have brought the borrowing trend to a head, before that bubble got too big. Only time will tell.
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The US spends $100 billon on Iraq a year. US consumer debt (basically credit cards and similar forms of debt) has skyrocketed to $2.5
trillion dollars. The housing bubble burst because it
was a bubble fueled by people picking up ridiculously large mortgages, at the very limit of their cash flow, for ridiculous terms and with variable interest rates. Seriously, who the fuck thinks a 50 year, or even worse an interest-only, variable rate mortgage in the middle of a real estate bubble is a good idea?
And sure, the price of oil is going up. Demand is outpacing supply due to the rapidly modernizing economies of China and India. But most of the increase in oil prices is due to the US dollar tanking. America has been running half-trillion dollar current account deficits for the past 10 years... the US dollar stayed strong as long as it did from inertia alone. America has been selling itself off and borrowing money hand over first for the past 15 years to finance this uncontrolled binge spending, and the rest of the world isn't quite as excited about the prospect as it used to be.
I laugh because the prescription for the current economic troubles from all the politicians and talking heads is about trying to get American 'consumers' to buy more stuff, like the stimulus package. The way they bemoan that people probably will use most of it to pay down current debt, and won't go out and buy stupid crap with it is extra retarded.
Hey assholes (I'm refering to the politicians here:-)), I've got a long term to plan to fix the American economy:
Don't buy shit you can't afford.